A rate rise is back on the table. What it means for sellers
Published 4 September 2026 · 6 min read · By Evren Ergin
On 3 September 2026 the Bank of England's chief economist argued that Bank Rate should go up promptly rather than down. That does not change what your home is worth this week, but it does change how you read a buyer who tells you they are holding on for a cheaper mortgage.
TL;DR
- •The Bank of England's chief economist called for a prompt rise in Bank Rate on 3 September 2026, while the rate itself has sat at 3.75% since 30 July.
- •Financial markets put the chance of a rise at the 17 September meeting at roughly 15%, and above 70% by November.
- •A quarter point rise adds about £33 a month to a £220,000 repayment mortgage and cuts what the same monthly payment will borrow by around £5,200.
- •If your buyer is waiting for rates to fall before they commit, the fall they are waiting for may not arrive, and it is fair to say so.

What actually happened this week?
On 3 September 2026, Huw Pill, the Bank of England's chief economist, told an audience at the Edinburgh Chamber of Commerce that raising Bank Rate now would reduce the risk of having to act harder later. He said a rise “need not be the start of a prolonged and aggressive series of increases”, and argued that moving early would head off inflation becoming embedded.
Bank Rate is the interest rate the Bank of England pays commercial banks, and it sets the floor for what those banks charge borrowers. It has been held at 3.75% since the meeting on 30 July 2026, where three of the nine committee members voted to raise it to 4%.
One official arguing for a rise is not a decision. It matters because for most of this year the argument was about how soon rates would come down, and it is now about whether they go up.
Is the Bank going to raise rates in September?
Nobody knows, and the market is not betting on it happening this month. As of 3 September 2026, futures pricing put the chance of a rise at the 17 September meeting at around 15%, rising to above 70% for the November decision. Read that as a market expecting no move in two weeks and a real possibility before Christmas.
Where UK rates stand, as at 4 September 2026
| Measure | Where it stands | As at |
|---|---|---|
| Bank Rate | 3.75%, held | 30 July 2026 |
| The July vote | Six members to hold, three for a rise to 4% | 30 July 2026 |
| Average two-year fixed mortgage | 5.59% | 3 September 2026 |
| Average five-year fixed mortgage | 5.63% | 3 September 2026 |
| Next Bank Rate decision | 17 September 2026 | scheduled |
| Market chance of a rise in September | About 15% | 3 September 2026 |
| Market chance of a rise by November | Above 70% | 3 September 2026 |
What would a rate rise do to my buyer's budget?
A fixed-rate mortgage is a loan where the interest rate is locked for a set period, usually two or five years. Lenders price those fixes off what money costs them in the wholesale market, which is why fixed rates can move weeks before Bank Rate does, and sometimes when it does not move at all.
The number that decides whether your buyer can still afford your house is not the headline rate. It is what a given monthly payment will borrow. The table below is a ValuQ calculation on a £220,000 repayment mortgage over 25 years, using the average two-year fixed rate of 5.59% as the starting point.
ValuQ analysis: the cost of a quarter point, on a £220,000 repayment mortgage over 25 years
| Rate | Monthly payment on £220,000 | What £1,363 a month would borrow at that rate |
|---|---|---|
| 5.34% | £1,330 | £225,400 |
| 5.59% (today's average two-year fix) | £1,363 | £220,000 |
| 5.84% | £1,396 | £214,800 |
| 6.09% | £1,430 | £209,700 |
A quarter point costs that buyer about £33 a month. It also takes roughly £5,200 off what they can borrow on the same budget. Half a point takes off about £10,300. On a home priced near a round number, that is the difference between an offer at your asking price and an offer just under it.
A rate move does not change your house. It changes the size of the mortgage the person standing in your hallway can get.
What should I do if I am selling right now?
- Do nothing dramatic. One speech is not a rate rise, and repricing your home on a maybe is how sellers give money away.
- If you have an agreed sale, ask your agent to confirm the buyer's full mortgage application is submitted rather than sitting at decision in principle. Once the lender issues a formal offer, the rate inside it is locked.
- If your buyer is stalling and blaming rates, put the arithmetic in front of them. Waiting has a cost now, and it may not have a payoff.
- If you are yet to list, price to the market as it is today rather than to the market you hoped for in the spring. Homes that are priced right still sell in a quiet market.
- Keep your own borrowing in view. If you are buying onward and your own fix ends soon, talk to a broker about how long an offer can be held.
What if I am waiting for rates to fall before I sell?
Waiting is a position, and it has a price. Rightmove analysis published on 31 July 2026 put the average time from listing to completion in Great Britain at 216 days, made up of 62 days to find a buyer and 154 days from agreeing the sale to getting the keys handed over. A seller who waits for a rate cut that is not currently expected is not delaying by a month. They are delaying by most of a year, on current timings.
The market you would be waiting out is not falling. Nationwide reported house prices up 0.2% in August and up 1.6% over the year, with the average home at £275,465. That is a slow market, not a sliding one.
Common questions about a rate rise and your sale
Will a rate rise make my house worth less?
Not directly. A rise reduces how much a buyer can borrow on the same monthly budget, which puts pressure on prices over months rather than days. House prices were still up 1.6% over the year to August 2026.
My buyer already has a mortgage offer. Can a rate rise take it away?
No. Once a lender issues a formal mortgage offer, the rate in that offer is fixed for the life of the offer, typically three to six months. A rise in Bank Rate afterwards does not change it.
Should I accept a lower offer now in case rates go up?
Not on the strength of one forecast. Judge the offer on the buyer's position and your own timeline. A committed buyer at a fair price beats a higher offer from someone who has spent nothing yet.
When will we know?
The Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee announces its next decision on 17 September 2026.
ValuQ gives UK homeowners free, side-by-side property valuations from competing local estate agents. When the rate story changes every fortnight, the useful thing is not a forecast. It is several local agents telling you what your home will actually sell for in this market, on one screen, before you speak to any of them.
Sources
- [1]Bank of England, The interest rate (Bank Rate) · 2026-07-30 · https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/the-interest-rate-bank-rate
- [2]Investing.com (Reuters), Bank of England's Pill says higher rates would help head off inflation pressure · 2026-09-03 · https://www.investing.com/news/economy-news/bank-of-englands-pill-says-higher-rates-would-help-head-off-inflation-pressure-4888253
- [3]HomeOwners Alliance, Mortgage rate forecast: are mortgage rates going down? · 2026-09-03 · https://hoa.org.uk/advice/guides-for-homeowners/for-owners/mortgage-rate-forecast/
- [4]Nationwide House Price Index, August 2026 · 2026-09-01 · https://www.nationwide.co.uk/media/hpi/
- [5]Mortgage Solutions, House prices inch up 0.2% in August as market remains subdued · 2026-09-01 · https://www.mortgagesolutions.co.uk/mortgage-news/2026/09/01/house-prices-inch-up-0-2-in-august-as-market-remains-subdued/
- [6]Property Industry Eye, Estate agents face longest wait on record to get paid (Rightmove analysis) · 2026-07-31 · https://propertyindustryeye.com/
Terms in this article
Plain-English definitions from the ValuQ property glossary.
Agreement in principle (AIP)
An agreement in principle is a lender's conditional indication of how much it would lend you, based on basic details and a credit check.
Fixed-rate mortgage
A fixed-rate mortgage locks your interest rate and monthly payment for a set period, commonly two or five years.
Repayment mortgage
A repayment mortgage pays interest and a slice of the loan every month, clearing the whole debt by the end of the term.
Mortgage offer
A mortgage offer is the lender's formal, binding commitment to lend, issued after full underwriting and valuation.
Base rate
The base rate is the interest rate the Bank of England sets, which flows through to mortgage pricing across the market.
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